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Long Term Outlook for Workers Compensation Mix of Statistics


Workers Comp Long Term Outlook – Good + Bad

The National Council on Compensation Insurance (NCCI) had an optimistic outlook on the Workers Compensation market. However, the NCCI had recently adjusted its long-term outlook for workers’ comp to cautionary. This may be the warning of a hard market.

Vector Graphic Of Hour Glass Long Term Outlook And Gold Coins

These concerns, according to NCCI, include:

· Rising medical costs remain a significant challenge and continue to rise faster than wages. California is the best example of spiraling medical costs. The NCCI does not track CA statistics.

· Higher indemnity claim costs. Researchers found that indemnity claim costs also continue to outpace wage increases The number of claims has decreased. The higher indemnity and medical costs have offset the decrease in the number of claims.

· Lower investment yields. I think that the insurance markets follow the stock market. The recent downturn in the economy should have hardened the market. The bailouts in the financial markets may have delayed the hard market.

· Potential political changes. I think the political changes such as a Federal Insurance office have caused great uncertainties in the market. Workers Comp benefits could even be affected by the nationalized health insurance program. With all of these uncertainties, the market could harden very quickly.


What Is the effect of a hard market on Workers Compensation? I will post on that next time.

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James J Moore - Workers Comp Expert

Raleigh, NC, United States

About The Author...

James founded a Workers’ Compensation consulting firm, J&L Risk Management Consultants, Inc. in 1996. J&L’s mission is to reduce our clients’ Workers Compensation premiums by using time-tested techniques. J&L’s claims, premium, reserve and Experience Mod reviews have saved employers over $9.8 million in earned premiums over the last three years. J&L has saved numerous companies from bankruptcy proceedings as a result of insurance overpayments.

James has over 27 years of experience in insurance claims, audit, and underwriting, specializing in Workers’ Compensation. He has supervised, and managed the administration of Workers’ Compensation claims, and underwriting in over 45 states. His professional experience includes being the Director of Risk Management for the North Carolina School Boards Association. He created a very successful Workers’ Compensation Injury Rehabilitation Unit for school personnel.

James’s educational background, which centered on computer technology, culminated in earning a Masters of Business Administration (MBA); an Associate in Claims designation (AIC); and an Associate in Risk Management designation (ARM). He is a Chartered Financial Consultant (ChFC) and a licensed financial advisor. The NC Department of Insurance has certified him as an insurance instructor. He also possesses a Bachelors’ Degree in Actuarial Science.

LexisNexis has twice recognized his blog as one of the Top 25 Blogs on Workers’ Compensation. J&L has been listed in AM Best’s Preferred Providers Directory for Insurance Experts – Workers Compensation for over eight years. He recently won the prestigious Baucom Shine Lifetime Achievement Award for his volunteer contributions to the area of risk management and safety. James was recently named as an instructor for the prestigious Insurance Academy.

James is on the Board of Directors and Treasurer of the North Carolina Mid-State Safety Council. He has published two manuals on Workers’ Compensation and three different claims processing manuals. He has also written and has been quoted in numerous articles on reducing Workers’ Compensation costs for public and private employers. James publishes a weekly newsletter with 7,000 readers.

He currently possess press credentials and am invited to various national Workers Compensation conferences as a reporter.

James’s articles or interviews on Workers’ Compensation have appeared in the following publications or websites:

  • Risk and Insurance Management Society (RIMS)
  • Entrepreneur Magazine
  • Bloomberg Business News
  • WorkCompCentral.com
  • Claims Magazine
  • Risk & Insurance Magazine
  • Insurance Journal
  • Workers Compensation.com
  • LinkedIn, Twitter, Facebook and other social media sites
  • Various trade publications


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